Hope…

In 2004, the at-the-time Mayor of San Francisco, Gavin Newsom, started issuing marriage licenses to interested parties in the gay community.  One can imagine the elation of those affected.  It was a bold move that was instantly lauded, applauded, and embraced by every segment of society…

Ha, ha…I’m kidding of course.  A certain segment of our society lost their collective minds.  Protests were staged, names were called, fights were had.  Then…laws were made.  What started off as a high-flying moment for the LGBT community seemed to have come to a crashing end.  But passing laws was an overstep by the “H8ers,” as they had come to be known.  Laws moved the issue from opinion, stereotype, and conjecture to a matter of, well, law.  It’s still true in this once-great nation that laws can’t discriminate.  In 2015, the Supreme Court ruled that states could not bar gays from getting married.  These days, gays are allowed to marry and divorce right along with everyone else.  The world hasn’t ended.

In a larger way, the entire country finds itself in a similar situation.  In 2008, the country “elected” a black man as President.  One can remember the elation of most of those affected.  It was a bold move that was instantly lauded, applauded, and embraced by every segment of our society.

Okay, no.  A certain segment lost their collective minds.  Protests were staged, names were called, fights were had and then…Trump.  I mean, talk about some brutal push-back.  The “Tea-baggers”, as they’ve come to be known, complained that Obama had too little experience to be President.  So they “pushed back” by supporting an individual with zero experience.  Aside from enriching himself through his office, nothing seems quite so important to our current POTUS as undoing everything “Obama”, becoming the “Anti-Obama”, if you will…

As President, Obama was thoughtful and articulate.  Trump appears to know somewhere between two- and three-hundred words.  Obama was attacked as the “teleprompter President.”  Trump squints at the thing, “reads” like it’s an I-Can-Read book, and STILL mispronounces several words per speech, perhaps to re-assure his “base” that he really is NOT part of the “intellectual elite” (code talk for “smart people.”)  The Obama administration made rules protecting the environment.  Trump allows coal companies to push mining waste into rivers and streams.

Trump supports off-shore drilling and just about every other 19th century power source – again, the exact opposite of Obama, who was trying to move the U.S. into 21st century power sources.  Obama was young, athletic, and dignified.  Trump?  Well, let’s just go with “the opposite.”  What started off as a high-flying moment for America seems to have come to a crashing end…

But I’ll tell you this: the “H8ers” exposed the very worst of humanity when it came to tolerance and equality.  Once the majority of the nation got a good view of what that looked like, we rejected their backwards, wrongheaded position.  The gays won.  In the same way, the Tea-baggers have shown us the ugliest portrayal, the darkest corners of ourselves and in every meaningful way, Donald J. Trump epitomizes the very worst of us.  We, the people, are getting a very good view of what that looks like.  I’m hopeful that the majority will reject the Tea-bagger’s backward, wrongheaded viewpoint, just like we did with the “H8ers.”  Perhaps, America can still win…

Market Movements…

Did you hear?  The stock market crashed…then recovered…then crashed again…then recovered some more.  Down, up, down, up – some fairly wild swings in some fairly short periods of time.  Profit taking?  An inevitable “correction?”  Did the stock market take such a rough ride because of the jobs reports that showed modest growth in real wages?  Maybe.  Real wage gains was one of the myriad suggestions out there.  I hope that one is wrong, though.  It’s not a good sign – the suggestion that the market might crash if workers start to get more fair wages.  It DOES, however, support my contention that the “Dow” reflects only the happiness of CEOs and has nothing to do with the state of the economy so…victory lap?

I can’t pretend I’ve heard each and every one of the possible explanations out there but the one I DIDN’T hear was this: 45’s policies are starting to take effect.  For reasons I can’t explain, FAR too many Americans don’t seem to realize that the first year of a President’s term – any President – plays out under the LAST year of the previous President’s budget.  So all of this “good” economic news that’s been playing out over the last year has REALLY been the “end” of the Obama administration.

It seems quite possible to me that one of the problems is that the GOP can’t seem to get it’s financial house in order.  They’ve been trying to come up with their own budget and, so far, we’ve measured not one but two “government shutdowns” as the GOP careens between “cruel” and “not cruel enough” for the various “Republican” factions.  When they DID finally come up with…something…it added over one TRILLION dollars to THIS YEAR’S deficit.  Talk about “fiscal responsibility…”

But, in addition to the jobs report on the Friday the crash “started”, another event took place on the subsequent Monday: Janet Yellen was replaced as Fed Chair by a Trump pick, Jerome Powell.  Okay, “Trump pick” isn’t exactly right.  Powell was already on the Board and he was put there by Obama.  But Yellen was doing a good job as the Chairperson and it is described as “highly unusual” for a competent Chair to NOT be recommended for a second term.  Replacing Yellen with Powell introduced uncertainty and one of the things the markets hate beyond any other is uncertainty.

So, why the change?  Acknowledging that Trump and I haven’t spoken on the subject, I’d have to submit that, perhaps, the driving factor was Powell’s known aversion to “regulatory burdens.”  He was once a partner in the Carlyle Group – a Washington based private equity firm.  OF COURSE he wants to reduce “regulatory burdens.”  How the hell can banks game the system and rip off their customers if regulations prevent them from doing so?  And, sure, that will help usher in new instabilities as the economy returns to the boom and bust days of old…

I’ll tell you this: “Uncertainty” and “instability” are words regularly associated with this maladministration.  Sadly, they’re also the very intangibles investment markets try to avoid at all costs.  Perhaps Mr. Trump’s Wild Ride has only just begun…

Parade THIS…

So…President Tiny Hands wants a grand military parade.  I guess he wants to see what a big missile looks like.  Apparently, he’s been quite impressed by Kim’s missile and now Macron’s.  Somebody should explain it to him.  Parades don’t change anything.  Sorry, Tiny, but if you want your “missile” to look bigger, your stomach is going to have to be smaller…

I wonder if he’ll show up wearing one of those stupid-looking pseudo-uniforms, covered from shoulder to shoes with medals and ribbons and declare himself the newest, greatest, highest rank in the military: ‘Field Marshall Von Admiral General’.  Dumb-ass.  You’re already the highest rank in the American military: the civilian Commander-in-Chief.  He could have known this already, of course, but when he had the chance to get up close and personal with military hardware, he sought deferments, instead…

I guess the entire disgusting affair will be “sold” as an opportunity to support our troops.  But, don’t we already support our troops?  I mean, sure, we do nothing to help them re-adjust to civilian life when they come back, we let them suffer in homelessness, and we fail to provide adequate health care for the injuries they sustain securing our nation’s oil…but we have those little magnets on the back of our cars…

Politicians are always on about how there’s no money for this, that, or the other thing and yet taxpayers are going to cough up a bit more so Tiny can pretend he’s a “real dictator”?  I’ll tell you this: I think we, the people, are already paying more than enough for displays of American military hardware around the globe.  If Tiny wants a parade, he should pay for it out of his own pocket…

Well, Of Course They Do…

I saw this item in the Guardian.  It’s an article about a study done to determine who shares the most “Fake News.”  It was done by Oxford University.  (I know…experts…pffft…)  You’ll never guess who, among us, consumes and redistributes the most “Fake News.”  I don’t want to steal the article’s thunder so…

 

“Low-quality, extremist, sensationalist and conspiratorial news published in the US was overwhelmingly consumed and shared by rightwing social network users, according to a new study from the University of Oxford.

The study, from the university’s “computational propaganda project”, looked at the most significant sources of “junk news” shared in the three months leading up to Donald Trump’s first State of the Union address this January, and tried to find out who was sharing them and why.

“On Twitter, a network of Trump supporters consumes the largest volume of junk news, and junk news is the largest proportion of news links they share,” the researchers concluded. On Facebook, the skew was even greater. There, “extreme hard right pages – distinct from Republican pages – share more junk news than all the other audiences put together.”

The research involved monitoring a core group of around 13,500 politically-active US Twitter users, and a separate group of 48,000 public Facebook pages, to find the external websites that they were sharing.”

I know, no surprises…at least not to anybody who’s been involved in the political discussion over, say, the last forty years or so.  (Subversive disinformation has been called ‘propaganda’ FAR longer than it’s been called ‘Fake News.’)

I’ll tell you this: the affected group, those who SHOULD review, reflect, and reconsider their sources, will simply declare the study ‘Fake News’ and move on to the next story about the AWESOME accomplishments of Trump…

The Nunes Memo…

By now, I presume we’ve all had a chance to take a look at the so-called “Nunes Memo.”  On Friday, February 2, 2018, Devin Nunes (R, of course) “released” this bit of creative writing.  It’s based loosely – VERY loosely – on actual events…in the same way Godzilla attacking Tokyo could be viewed as a “documentary.”  After all, Tokyo is a real place so, perhaps the attack was “based on actual events.”  The memo hadn’t even gotten out of the chute before Nunes was forced to admit he hadn’t even read the underlying intelligence.  Of course, he didn’t need to.  The intent of his writing assignment was to undermine the FBI in the service of his overlord.

Nunes has done this before.  He’s actually had to step away from this very same investigation over his own unethical behavior before.  Now he’s back – and the first thing he does is produce this memo – best suited for cleaning up after a bowel movement.  Trump is pretending the memo is “proof” that the investigation is a witch hunt.  Most of the Fox “News”-level thinkers accept this.  Some are even out in social media trying to convince people that the smoking gun of conspiracy has been found, personal credibility be damned…

Thinking people want to know why there’s so much effort to deflect an investigation that, we’re assured, will produce nothing…especially since it has already produced something; two convictions.  I, personally, want to know why the Trump team doesn’t seem to understand that the more they lie the guiltier they look.

Honest men don’t lie to prove their honesty…

Both Nunes and Trump are known, proven, serial liars.  The known, proven, serial liars are the “source” for the notion that the FBI might be lying.  But I’ll tell you this:  If I have to choose between the Nunes/Trump axis, one lying from the safety of his congressional perch and the other lying on Fox “News” and Twitter or Mueller, gaining actual convictions in actual courts, I’m going with the FBI…

 

This and That…

Did you watch the Pro Bowl?  No?  Apparently, neither did anybody else.  I had to go searching to find any information about the game.  (Because I certainly didn’t watch it!)  Like every corporation in this once-great nation, the NFL has destroyed it’s product.  And I don’t care what the bigots think, it has nothing to do with Colin Kaepernick’s objection to cops killing people of color.  It’s saturation.  Not just the number of games.  Commercials.  OMG, the commercials.  They rolled out a new tool this season in which the game, itself, is relegated to a small corner of the screen while an ad runs in a larger window.

I know a guy who lives, now, in a foreign country.  He’s back for a visit and he was pleased he had the opportunity to catch the Championship games since it had been so long since he’d been able to watch American football.  He called it “unwatchable.”  He noted the broadcast has become three and a half hours of commercials, occasionally interrupted by a football play…

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Weasel Words.  That’s my name for those phrases that come up when a person wants to try to weasel out of some predicament during a discussion or debate.  In today’s hysteria-driven America, the most common Weasel Words are ‘Fake News…’

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Why would anybody be surprised to find out that Trump cheated on Melania?  The actual news would be if Trump had a wife he didn’t cheat on…

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Alexander Hamilton had an advantage when he designed our nation’s economic system: other economic systems.  He looked around, copied ideas that worked, and rejected ideas that didn’t.  That’s the way I think we, the people should handle things after the next, pending revolution.  Let’s not throw out the baby with the bathwater, as the saying goes.  Let’s use what was good in our Constitution and fix the things that weren’t.  First up on my suggestion list?  Salaries.

Nobody should be allowed to set their own salary.  EVERYBODY thinks they’re worth top dollar, even those who aren’t worth a dime.  Consider: this country was created and established by people making eight dollars a day.  Today’s Congress is the highest paid in history and I’ve never seen a more useless group of sorry excuses.  So much for the pretense that if you want the best people you’ve got to pay higher rates.  I propose a change to the Constitution in which the salaries of members of Congress are tied directly to the fortunes of their constituents.  If they can’t screw the people without screwing themselves, they’re less likely to screw the people.  LESS likely…

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The Northern California fires are still “happening” – they just aren’t burning anymore.  The fallout continues, unabated.  Toxins are polluting the water and, as the cleanup continues, the air.  The housing situation was…untenable before the fires.  Now?  It’s virtually impossible to find affordable housing.  Anybody who wants or needs to move won’t be moving across town.  They’re fleeing across the state or across the country, forced out of the only place they’ve known as home by circumstances far beyond their control.  I guess I know how the Dreamers feel…

Tariff Talk…

Have you heard?  Trump imposed some tariffs on washing machines and solar panels made outside the US.  I’ve seen some reports, since, about job loss in America as a result and I’ve seen the warnings about how washing machines are about to get more expensive.  As it happens, I’m okay with the new tariffs…with a nuance.  The nuance is that the solar panel tariff appears to fit right into Trump’s obsession with (or, more likely, investment in) 19th century energy sources.

I have not been much of a fan of so-called “free trade” agreements.  So far, they seem to have helped other countries at the expense of Americans.  I don’t have any heartburn helping other countries.  I have serious concerns about what that “help” has looked like.  Manufacturing has been moving to other countries as quickly as possible ever since Bill Clinton signed NAFTA.  The reason is simple: cheaper labor.  MUCH cheaper labor.

But it’s “cheaper labor” because those other countries don’t have nearly the same worker protections.  Occasionally, stories show up in our media about some foreign worker who chose to dive out a third story window rather than continue one more day in the fenced-in sweatshops that pay pennies a day.  “Free trade” has been instituted to the benefit of the corporations doing the trading, NOT the workers it was sold as “helping.”  It has contributed to the loss of middle class jobs in America and the rise of near-slave working conditions around the world.  To me, that’s some pretty expensive “cheap” labor…

A tariff is supposed to benefit manufacturing in it’s home country.  Some people call that “protectionist” and I suppose it is.  At this point, I think the American economy could USE a little protecting.  If the long term result is an increase in manufacturing in the US – as it should be – this country will benefit over time.  Yes, the solar panel installer work will experience a bit of a blip as suppliers change but those jobs will come back as US manufacturers ramp up and we’ll have the manufacturing aspect back as well.  It’s a bit of a win-win…

Yes, washing machines and solar panels might become a bit more expensive – but that’s because American workers cost more.  I’ll tell you this: Like it or not, Americans are going to have to make a choice: do you want the very cheapest possible products or do you want a strong manufacturing base supporting a stronger middle class in the US?

In Defense of the Worker…

When advocating for high taxes on the wealthy – because high taxes on the rich causes them to actually do what they always promise lower taxes might someday encourage them to do – one often receives a predictable response: “Why should I have to give up more of the money I earned?”  I can speak to that.  First, if you aren’t currently a member of the one percent, you can relax.  Nobody’s talking about you.  (In fact, if the one percent would pay their fair share, your taxes could go down…)  If you ARE a member of the one percent, you can relax, too.  YOU…didn’t “earn” it.  You KEPT it, sure.  But you didn’t earn it.

THAT accomplishment belongs to that maligned group of people known collectively as “the workers.”  You know…those who do the actual work that produces the revenues you’ve chosen to keep.  But fortuitously finding yourself in a position where you get to choose who gets what isn’t the same as “earning.”  So, now the workers should be asking you, why should I give up the money I earned?  The answer is the same, “Because I started the business.”

Oh, because YOU started the business?  Two things: One, what if you didn’t?  What if someone else started the business and you just happened to end up running the show?  Think of the Walton clan.  Two, even if you did actually start the business, YOU didn’t produce all of that beautiful revenue alone – so why should you, alone, benefit so mightily from the results?  “Oh, because I took the chance.”

Yeah, you did.  Of course, so did the workers.  They took the chance, too.  In fact, because the workers don’t have a say in the direction of the company and because you chose to pay yourself an inordinate salary while leaving the workers to turn to the state to make ends meet, the workers face a bigger risk than you.  The stakes are higher for the employee than the employer.  At least you have something to fall back on should the whole thing come crashing down…

As it happens, there’s actually a very solid way to determine how much MORE the person who starts the business should get to keep than the workers.  It’s a question: How much could a person earn in that business with no employees?  Whatever that magic number is, THAT’S the number!  Not surprisingly, the number changes from business to business.  Here’s an example.  I referenced the Walton offspring earlier.  My understanding is that Sam Walton sired five children.  So…one to drive the truck.  One does the paperwork.  One works the register.  Two stock the shelves.  See?  They could run a store.  One store.  One small store.  So…WHY, exactly, do they get to pocket hundreds of millions of dollars in profits while their employees – those who do the work the generates the revenues – have to turn to food stamps?

Of course, people could still get rich.  Warren Buffet still would have done quite well for himself.  But if HE had to dot the i’s and cross the t’s on the the SEC filings and tax forms, he could not have done as well for himself as he has.  The tedious parts of his business would have slowed him down.  No matter how you slice it, it’s a group effort.

I’ll tell you this: it’s not right that workers in this country are treated as pariahs and parasites.  It’s not honest, it’s not fair, and it’s not sustainable.  I know, it’s the current paradigm but I suspect it’s not going to end well…

Jerry’s Train…

I was watching a “news” report on my local Fox affiliate.  (I watch it for the weather…girl.)  They were doing a story on Governor Jerry Brown’s efforts to build a high speed rail system in California.  They emphasized that the project has doubled in cost estimates and is behind schedule in construction.  The project never attracted the private investors expected and the Federal government can’t be counted on to pony up any more than they already have.  In short, after all the expenditures, planning, and preparations, the project looks, increasingly, like it may fail.

Governor Brown’s mistake was simple and honest enough: he still sees the United States of America as a forward-looking country…but we’re not.  Not anymore, anyway.  The United States used to lead the world in just about every way it was awesome to lead the world.  Many parts of the world have benefited from our example.  But not US.  We beheld the benefits we had discovered and/or developed and, in blind thrall to “special interests” (read: greed), walked away from all of it.  Jerry’s Train has become the perfect metaphor, a forward-looking project in a backward-moving environment.

In the 1930’s, the US was struggling – perhaps failing – under crushing income inequality.  FDR introduced a new, more fair, economic system.  It worked so well, it created the greatest, strongest middle class the world had ever seen.  It was SO obviously SO successful, other countries began adopting the New Deal principles that made it work.  THOSE countries developed and refined the underlying concepts and created strong, vibrant economies that benefit the vast majority of the people who live there.  But not the United States.  No, we chose to walk away from that success and exchange it for more of the same, crushing income inequality we had previously defeated.

One part of the economic solution was to invoke worker protections.  Things like unions, the forty-hour workweek, enforced overtime pay, and sick leave made the working environment functional for everybody.  Then, some self-interested party challenged those ideas with slick-sounding slogans like “Right to Work.”  Every time I hear that, I have the same thought: slaves have ALWAYS had the “right to work.”  Really, it’s the right NOT to work from time to time that creates a healthy work/life balance.  The US used to know that.  Most First World nations still do but the United States has steadily abandoned the ideas – by choice.  If you’re not all work, all the time, you’re simply “not trying” and you “deserve to fail.”  There’s not much emphasis on the idea that if you ARE all work all the time, you’re increasingly facing the reality of failure anyway, I’ve noticed.

The United States used to have one of the most developed infrastructures on the planet.  One could count on clean water, working toilets, and electricity anywhere one went.  Today, our infrastructure is literally crumbling beneath our feet.  Some people blame the greedy politicians.  Some blame the greedy people who bought the greedy politicians.  It all works out the same in the end, though.  Unsafe (or unavailable) drinking water, crumbling sewer systems, bridges one may or may not make it all the way across, and gas supply systems that blow up homes rather than keeping them warm have become “normal” because we, the people, chose to ignore the problems…

Our educational system was once the envy of the world.  We set the standard.  Other countries took up the challenge.  They saw the benefits of a well-educated society and moved to emulate the success of America.  Then, they exceeded anything America had ever implemented – simply by moving forward along the obvious path.  A better educated society is a stronger society.  Better access to education is a better educated society.  Tuition free college, anyone?  Sure, in the First World countries.  Some of those countries even provide a stipend to people attending school.  But not in the United States.  In the United States, we’re making it harder to get an education at all, let alone a college education.  If you DO get to college, you’ll spend the rest of your life paying off the student loans issued at usury rates.  We undercut our own world-class educational system – by choice.

The First World is embracing and expanding renewable energy resources at an incredible pace, a forward-looking ideology.  The United States is pushing coal, a backwards-moving technology.  First man on the moon.  Now we have to hitch rides from other, more successful countries just to get to the space station…

At every stage, in every way, the United States of America has turned her back on her own citizens and her own accomplishments.  If it was good, if it could benefit Americans, it had to go.  All of it, abandoned by choice.  Regression, deterioration, decay…by choice.  Hell, we even have a proto-human in the White House now…

I’ll tell you this: when I think of Jerry’s Train, I feel regret.  Jerry Brown is an older guy.  He still remembers America when she was THE “can-do” nation on the planet.  He didn’t think High Speed Rail should be too challenging to our forward-looking country.  Apparently, he failed to grasp that we’ve become a backwards-moving nation.  The bits of Jerry’s Train that have been built stand as a shining reminder of what the United States was once, what she could have been, what she should have been – but chose not to be…

1/15/18 10:49: edited to correct a typo…(mb)

Who Counts The Votes?

Joseph Stalin, of all people, is credited with a rather infamous comment: It’s not who votes that counts.  It’s who counts the votes.  Maybe he said it, maybe he didn’t.  It’s still an important idea and it’s one we face in this country on a regular basis.  I’ve said this before and I feel a need to say it again – with a bit more…urgency.  Do NOT cast your ballots on a computerized or electronic voting machine.  Use paper ballots.  The reason is simple enough: we, the people, cannot trust the integrity of electronic voting machines.  The “fix” is simple enough as well: cast absentee ballots.

I suspect, on some level, we all know the machines are easily rigged.  Americans should have demanded the removal of voting machines early on.  We should still.  We SHOULD have been suspicious the moment we were told by the manufacturers – the same companies that build ATM machines – it’s not possible to build a voting machine that creates a paper trail.  What?  They can do it for an ATM but not a voting machine?  That seems odd.  I can make deposits, withdrawals, and payments on an ATM and when I’m done I collect a little receipt that summarizes my transactions.  The machine also keeps a paper copy and updates it’s computer with the current information.  So what happens when the total on the paper doesn’t match the computer total?  Time to review the footage.  (Oh, yeah, the ATM can even take your picture while you do whatever it is you’re doing…)

So, how hard might it be to set up the same system – the one they already use so there’s no need to reinvent the wheel – to provide a paper copy to the voter and keep a paper copy in the machine while updating the computer count?  Not much of a challenge, I imagine.  BUT…if, at the end of the day, the paper count doesn’t match the computerized total, it would prove something was amiss.  How would the people who control those machines successfully control the outcome of “elections” if the paper trail betrayed the vote flipping inside?  Simple solution: eliminate the paper trail.  Pretend it’s “not possible.”  Prattle on about the “integrity of the election.”  Repeat as necessary.

We the people, can…should…MUST refuse to use those machines.  But I do NOT support the notion of simply not voting.  We have one teeny tiny glimmer of hope remaining to recover our once-proud nation from the grips of the one percent without bloodshed: voting.  But if the one percent control the voting machines, they control the votes.  So…get out and vote – specifically because someone out there doesn’t want you to.  But don’t use their equipment.

Cast an absentee ballot, instead.  It’s paper.  It’s a written hard copy.  It can be manually counted and recounted if necessary.  The machines?  You get a total.  You have to trust it.  There’s no double-checking because there’s no paper trail.  Think of it this way: perhaps Donald Trump didn’t even “win” the Electoral College, but there’s no way to prove that because it happened on voting machines.  The internal numbers can be changed, easily, as it happens, with no evidence such changes occurred.  (Look, don’t take my word for it.  Search ‘Vote Flipping Video’ and behold the avalanche of information…)

So vote absentee.  Cast a provisional ballot if you must.  Whichever, don’t use the machines.  Create a paper trail.  The key is, a HUGE number of people have to participate in this process in order to be effective.  There must be enough absentee ballots to force the “counters” to count them BEFORE an announcement of a “winner” can be made.

I’ll tell you this:  In November, 2018, you need to vote and you need to vote on paper ballots.  Tell your friends.  Tell your friends to tell their friends.  (Maybe just forward this essay to everyone you know…)  This needs to become a “thing.”  It should become a wave.  A movement would be better.  At this point, America needs every vote it can get and the votes had better be on paper…